CALCULATOR NO-VIG FAIR ODDS

No-Vig Calculator

A posted price includes the book's margin. Strip it out and you get the probability the market actually believes — the number every edge is measured against.

SHARP READ

This market is priced at 103.50%, so the book is holding 3.50%. Removing it puts the fair price at -164 / +164.

3.50 — BOOK HOLD
SUCKER READ

The posted odds are the market's opinion.

The two-way market

Most common. Removes vig proportionally — the side with more juice loses more.

What the book is charging

Implied A64.29%
Implied B39.22%
Combined 103.50%
Hold 3.50%

Anything over 100% is the book's margin. That excess is what devigging removes.

The fair price — Multiplicative

Fair probability A62.11%
Fair probability B37.89%
Fair odds A-164
Fair odds B+164

Every method, side by side

Multiplicative Standard 62.11% / 37.89%
Additive Worst-case 62.54% / 37.46%
Power Best-case 58.16% / 41.84%
Shin Advanced 67.33% / 32.67%

The methods disagree most on lopsided markets. Where they spread widely, treat any single fair price as an estimate rather than a fact.

WHAT THE NUMBER DOESN'T KNOW

A devigged price is only as honest as the book you took it from. Strip the vig off a soft book and you get that book's opinion with the margin removed — not the market's. Anchor to a sharp book, and prefer the method the market you're pricing actually behaves like.

Sharp Booksthe price the market trusts · 6:00 EV Calculatorturn a fair price into an edge Put the math on your sidePRICING